Outcome accuracy
Whether the forecast identified the home win, draw, or away win, regardless of the exact score.
Published evidence
Forecast results, kept as they were before kickoff
Exact Predictors stores each forecast before a match starts and later joins it to the final score. The results browser lets you inspect that record match by match. It does not rerun today's model on an old fixture or replace an unsuccessful forecast with a newer one.
How results are measured
Exact score accuracy
The stricter check: both goal totals must match the final score exactly.
Sample size
The number of settled forecasts behind a percentage. A rate without its sample is incomplete.
Browse settled matches by competition
Competition pages show every available final score and identify the fixtures that carried a stored forecast. Coverage varies with the competition calendar and the amount of source data available.