Football forecast overview
Upcoming football forecasts, explained clearly
See which result our statistical model considers most likely and how well the available data supports that estimate. Open any match for the full probability breakdown, expected goals, and reasoning.
1X2
home · draw · away
xG
match estimates
7 days
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Upcoming model forecasts
Featured forecasts appear first, followed by lower-confidence forecasts when space remains. Each group shows how its rows are ordered.
Next 7 days · refreshed from stored forecasts
How to read this table
The two numbers answer different questions.
Outcome probability
How likely is the highlighted home win, draw, or away win according to the model? A higher number means a more decisive forecast.
Model confidence
How well do the available data and model conditions support that estimate? It is not another probability or a historical success rate.
Featured — at least 50% probability and 55/100 confidence.
Lower confidence — at least 50% probability but below 55/100 confidence.
A high probability can still have modest confidence: the model may see a clear direction while having limited evidence behind the estimate.
| Fixture | Forecast | Prob.Outcome probability | Conf.Model confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FeaturedPasses both thresholds · ordered by outcome probability | |||
| Bahia win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 56% | 65/100 | |
| Atletico MG win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 55% | 64/100 | |
| Flamengo win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 53% | 67/100 | |
| Lower confidencePasses the 50% probability floor · ordered by model confidence | |||
| Sturm Graz win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 69% | 41/100 | |
| A. Lustenau win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 62% | 41/100 | |
| Rapid Wien win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 58% | 41/100 | |
| LASK Linz win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 77% | 40/100 | |
| Cercle Brugge win Highlighted 1X2 outcome | 92% | 37/100 | |
Showing 8 of 13 qualifying forecasts (3 Featured, 10 Lower confidence).
View all qualifying forecastsFigures are rounded for display. Every probability is a statistical estimate, not a promise about the result.
Explore every upcoming fixture
Choose a competition for the complete schedule and available forecasts.
Inspect the method
See how team strength, expected goals, Poisson, and Dixon–Coles form each forecast.
How it worksReview published results
Finished fixtures retain the forecast recorded before kickoff, so past performance stays inspectable.
View resultsRead confidence correctly
Confidence describes the model's evidence and uncertainty. It does not replace the outcome probability.
What the numbers mean